Predictions with
a due date
Commit a dated thesis with a 1–10 confidence score, build a public track record, and let time decide who saw it coming.
A date changes everything
Saying ‘AI will transform healthcare’ is noise. Saying it happens by 2028 with 8/10 confidence is a commitment — one you can be held to.
Your track record follows you
Every resolved prediction updates your accuracy score. That score tells the story of how reliably you’ve seen the future.
No revisionism. Ever.
Predictions are locked the moment you cast them. When the target year arrives, the original words stand — exactly as written.
Calibration beats conviction
A 9/10 that misses is more informative than a 5/10 that hits. The confidence score is about accuracy, not ego.
Sharpen with AI
Stuck on the wording? AI turns a hunch into a falsifiable claim and suggests a fair confidence.
Build a body of work
Your predictions are a portfolio of your thinking — on permanent, public, timestamped record.